I don’t know if I’m going crazy but looking at the current situation in the world … please tell me that I’m overexagurating
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No. It’s bad for the economy.
You could not be more wrong
It’s bad for certain parts of the economy and it is dangerous for current rulers.
Economy is cyclical, always either heading into a recession or coming out of a recession. A capitalist society requires constant money flow for expansion which is why interest rates are lowered during recessive times to stimulate expenditure and raised during peak to control expansion. World wars put spending into overdrive.
To the wealthy, volatility is opportunity. Yeah, the market will go down for a while, and later it’ll go back up. Billionaires will cash in both ways.
Could already be going. We didn’t name them World War 1 and World War 2 until after they were over
Is already going for the last 10 years.
Yeah, I’d tend to agree. The war is digital and economic. Countries are hacking each other’s infrastructure and commercial systems, mass propaganda and spying with troll farms, tiktok and even hardware. Plenty of fighting with sanctions, tariffs, bans of sales of technology.
Fighting for land right now is really unnecessary, however depending on how well humanity survives climate change I’d expect to see some arguments going in to drilling and mining places like Greenland, the arctic and antarctic. China is already setting up shop in Antarctica.
We are also all tied together economically in so many different ways that a war between major powers would be economically devastating for everyone before the first shot is fired, particularly for the countries that ceded most of their production to other countries that might be hostile in war.
The situation today is nowhere near as bad as the Cold War.
Think of it this way. All of the 0.01%ers in china, USA and Russia share the same tastes and values. Think any of them are really hot to blow up their nice places on the Rivera?
I’ve been expecting WW3 since 1983.
I think that the true world war 3 will not be nations against nations, but citizens against their own nations. The stage is set for an actual paradigm shift or system annihilation. We will not support civilization if it doesn’t change, either the people destroy the pyramid or the pyramid will destroy the world.
The world as we know it
Paint me a picture of what you think that looks like. Here’s my painting: Everybody marches on their capitals, everyone gets gunned down with 30mm cannonfire, the Americans are gunned down holding pistols and rifles everyone else is gunned down holding pitchforks and torches.
who’s doing the gunning? we dont have that many combat robots yet, and i still have hope that communication is open enough and most people aren’t too brainwashed to realize firing on your own countrypeople is bad.
but we better do sonething before these change.
I was picturing Phalanx CWIS. doesn’t take much mampower to run one of those.
Guerrilla tactics work, no one is ever gonna just randomly storm the capitals, that’s just kind of naive and reductive
No thanks. Appreciate the offer though, very kind of you.
According to the Science and Security Board of the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, we are closer to nuclear war now than ever in history. Closer than when boomers were doing school duck and cover drills.
2024 Doomsday Clock Statement: A moment of historic danger: It is still 90 seconds to midnight
It’s reminiscent of the cold war.
I don’t think so.
Primarily because there’s not economic benefit in it for the ruling class.
Also, we’ve made the experience of the war in the middle east around 2000 where the USA couldn’t even occupy a farmer’s state for more than a couple years.
I don’t think anybody realistically thinks they can take over another (big) country in this time.
Primarily because there’s not economic benefit in it for the ruling class.
Our history of perpetual war seems to disprove this
Star Trek says that we shouldn’t expect World War 3 until 2026, so we’ve got 1 more year to live to the fullest before then.
When Trump was elected again I spent about 3 weeks living with an existential dread I’ve never in my life felt before.
Whenever it happens, it is coming.
Anything could happen of course, but I don’t see this as a likely scenario myself. What’s more likely is that we return to bloc competition similar to what we saw during the Cold War. Except this time it’s going to be G7 against the BRICS.
No
I think it has already started. It just hasn’t consolidated yet.
