I can’t seem to figure out how to use the engine. I can’t find the private messages. I’ll post it here: our Chinese friend from Reddit has registered here. Can we create our own thread here so we can communicate with him?
Yes, I read it—Rule Number Two: Show respect, especially when you’re in the wrong.
To be honest, I didn’t see anything particularly outrageous in there. I’ve been called a Nazi on Reddit… and they didn’t bat an eye.
And this is actually the first time that my opponent got removed rather than me; I’m extremely surprised.
By the way, I recently stumbled across a YouTube video—check it out. It features Yusupov—the guy who killed Rasputin. I had no idea he’d acted in films.
I also lost your link to the section on Ukraine. I’ll write it here.
Regarding our conversation at the beginning of spring about what’s happening.
My vision of the situation on the front is coming true so far. We were waiting for the green stuff to appear. It has, but nothing has changed at all. Russia is attacking in the Donetsk and Kharkiv regions, with minimal success, while Ukraine is attacking westward, in the Zaporizhzhia direction, and is also advancing. Russia failed to achieve a strategic initiative during the spring offensive. But the most important thing, as I mentioned earlier, is the strikes deep into Russia, which are becoming more painful with each passing month. I get the impression that Ukraine now has parity in drones. Europe is increasing drone production on its own territory. Ukraine has begun using drones with artificial intelligence. According to local residents, something similar is happening in Energodar now.
Drones continue to displace traditional weapons with each passing month; very soon they will no longer be needed. War is becoming much cheaper, which is very beneficial for Ukraine. I haven’t seen Zelenskyy so confident in a long time.
All that’s left is to wait for your forecasts by mid-summer.
Did you see a recent interview with Karaganov where he basically says that the west does not understand what nuclear deterrence is, and that his view is that Russia will eventually end up striking a NATO country, first conventionally, and then if the message doesn’t get through then using a limited nuclear strike as a demonstration. It seems that’s where we’re headed at this point. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Gd5jdl36cg
Did you see a recent interview with Karaganov where he basically says that the west does not understand what nuclear deterrence is, and that his view is that Russia will eventually end up striking a NATO country, first conventionally, and then if the message doesn’t get through then using a limited nuclear strike as a demonstration. It seems that’s where we’re headed at this point. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Gd5jdl36cg
I actually got banned from Reddit for the second time for saying exactly this while replying to you. The only difference was that I was talking about a non-nuclear strike. And I added that Russia needed to carry this out as quickly as possible—otherwise, things would only get worse down the road.
As you can see for yourself, time has passed, and a simple strike is no longer enough to resolve the situation.
Karaganov is close to Putin; when he speaks, it isn’t just an interview—it is a direct message to the West, delivered through Western influencers, intended specifically for people like you to see.
This is an information game, playing out against the backdrop of Russia recently beginning to test captured Western weaponry. The underlying premise is that the West will eventually come to its senses, because things have already gone much too far. Those drone incursions deep into Russian territory pose a genuine threat to Russia—a real threat, regardless of what is happening on the front lines. Ukraine is already capable of launching a thousand drones a day… and that number is only going to rise.
I still think this will be the big deciding factor. Europe can talk a big talk, but people have to eat. As Lenin put it, every society is three meals away from chaos. You saw how even Kid Starver tried to roll back sanctions on Russian energy, that tells you all you need to know about how bad the situation is.
I still think this will be the big deciding factor.
Let’s put it this way: this is the only factor capable of bringing the war to a halt in the near future.
As for the situation on the ground, we are witnessing yet another spiral of escalation. The stakes are rising—particularly in the wake of the recent Ukrainian strike on a student dormitory in the Luhansk region. Eighteen teenagers—both boys and girls—were pulled from the rubble. Retaliation now lies ahead…
It is as if even nature itself is serving as a reminder of this; right now, the sky above us looks like this.
You saw how even Kid Starver tried to roll back sanctions on Russian energy
As far as I know, the sanctions against Russia have already been lifted for another month.
We know perfectly well that they have no other choice; they will go all the way.
The “end” comes when popular unrest boils over. For now, Europe has the situation under control.
I believe that if a fuel crisis does strike Europe, it will happen in August or September—precisely when vast quantities of fuel are needed to power machinery during the harvest season. I’ve already observed that farmers there are facing significant difficulties even without this added burden. We have witnessed farmer protests in various European countries on numerous occasions. I suspect that this sector will serve as the primary driving force behind future protests, eventually joined by workers from other industries affected by the fuel crisis. However, this scenario will only unfold if Europe fails to stabilize the situation in the fuel market. Protests of this magnitude require extremely compelling grounds.
If I were to post this on Reddit, I’d be banned instantly. I am not advocating for protests; rather, I am attempting to visualize the scenario—to imagine how such events might be triggered. I’ve imagined how it might start; as for how it might end—that, too, is conceivable: it will all culminate in Hungary and Slovakia becoming the wealthiest nations in Europe, as refugees from Brussels, London, and Paris come flocking to their borders… ))) And those with a bit more daring might head to Russia—to work on construction sites… ))) I’m only joking about that last part, of course; I certainly don’t mean to offend anyone…
Moreover, nothing is predetermined yet; the ultimate outcome of this unfolding drama remains shrouded in deep uncertainty.
Damn it—I was in the middle of writing you a really long reply when the power went out and my computer shut down. I switched over to my backup power supply, but drafts don’t save on this setup… Argh.
Let’s talk tomorrow, Comrade! I’ll say just one thing: I first found out about the massive shelling from the news this morning. It was relatively quiet on our end last night.
I also wanted to discuss the JPMorgan forecast with you, as well as the potential scenarios for how the war in Ukraine might end.
I’m talking about that guy up above who got offended and doesn’t want to reply.
oh you can check the modlog, lemmy is pretty transparent about it unlike reddit https://lemmy.ml/modlog/14681?page=1&actionType=All&userId=23129142
Thanks, Comrade—I’ll check it out!
Once I get a little more settled in here and get to know the locals better, we can pick up our fascinating conversation… )))
indeed, you’ll also notice that https://lemmy.ml/c/ukraine has very different vibe from reddit here
Yes, I’ll take a look.
Yes, I see that the topic of Ukraine isn’t very popular here—for some reason. Do you want us to move over there?
yeah can chat there
Hi, Comrade!
I can’t seem to figure out how to use the engine. I can’t find the private messages. I’ll post it here: our Chinese friend from Reddit has registered here. Can we create our own thread here so we can communicate with him?
Thanks!
Ah no worries, I made a community and a thread, tagged you both in it.
Yes, I read it—Rule Number Two: Show respect, especially when you’re in the wrong.
To be honest, I didn’t see anything particularly outrageous in there. I’ve been called a Nazi on Reddit… and they didn’t bat an eye.
And this is actually the first time that my opponent got removed rather than me; I’m extremely surprised.
By the way, I recently stumbled across a YouTube video—check it out. It features Yusupov—the guy who killed Rasputin. I had no idea he’d acted in films.
https://youtu.be/c2SoWFIixOQ
a very different culture here from reddit, and didn’t know that either about Yusupov
I also lost your link to the section on Ukraine. I’ll write it here.
Regarding our conversation at the beginning of spring about what’s happening.
My vision of the situation on the front is coming true so far. We were waiting for the green stuff to appear. It has, but nothing has changed at all. Russia is attacking in the Donetsk and Kharkiv regions, with minimal success, while Ukraine is attacking westward, in the Zaporizhzhia direction, and is also advancing. Russia failed to achieve a strategic initiative during the spring offensive. But the most important thing, as I mentioned earlier, is the strikes deep into Russia, which are becoming more painful with each passing month. I get the impression that Ukraine now has parity in drones. Europe is increasing drone production on its own territory. Ukraine has begun using drones with artificial intelligence. According to local residents, something similar is happening in Energodar now. Drones continue to displace traditional weapons with each passing month; very soon they will no longer be needed. War is becoming much cheaper, which is very beneficial for Ukraine. I haven’t seen Zelenskyy so confident in a long time. All that’s left is to wait for your forecasts by mid-summer.
Did you see a recent interview with Karaganov where he basically says that the west does not understand what nuclear deterrence is, and that his view is that Russia will eventually end up striking a NATO country, first conventionally, and then if the message doesn’t get through then using a limited nuclear strike as a demonstration. It seems that’s where we’re headed at this point. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=2Gd5jdl36cg
Incidentally, Mearsheimer agrees with Karaganov and also thinks that Russia has to reestablish nuclear deterrence https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dx7osj5gCmo
I actually got banned from Reddit for the second time for saying exactly this while replying to you. The only difference was that I was talking about a non-nuclear strike. And I added that Russia needed to carry this out as quickly as possible—otherwise, things would only get worse down the road.
As you can see for yourself, time has passed, and a simple strike is no longer enough to resolve the situation.
Karaganov is close to Putin; when he speaks, it isn’t just an interview—it is a direct message to the West, delivered through Western influencers, intended specifically for people like you to see.
This is an information game, playing out against the backdrop of Russia recently beginning to test captured Western weaponry. The underlying premise is that the West will eventually come to its senses, because things have already gone much too far. Those drone incursions deep into Russian territory pose a genuine threat to Russia—a real threat, regardless of what is happening on the front lines. Ukraine is already capable of launching a thousand drones a day… and that number is only going to rise.
We’ll have to see what happens in the next three month when the real energy shortages hit https://www.reuters.com/commentary/reuters-open-interest/oil-market-clock-is-ticking-supply-crunch-looms-2026-05-21/
I still think this will be the big deciding factor. Europe can talk a big talk, but people have to eat. As Lenin put it, every society is three meals away from chaos. You saw how even Kid Starver tried to roll back sanctions on Russian energy, that tells you all you need to know about how bad the situation is.
Let’s put it this way: this is the only factor capable of bringing the war to a halt in the near future.
As for the situation on the ground, we are witnessing yet another spiral of escalation. The stakes are rising—particularly in the wake of the recent Ukrainian strike on a student dormitory in the Luhansk region. Eighteen teenagers—both boys and girls—were pulled from the rubble. Retaliation now lies ahead…
It is as if even nature itself is serving as a reminder of this; right now, the sky above us looks like this.
As far as I know, the sanctions against Russia have already been lifted for another month.
Maybe that’s not what I’m talking about.
https://www.reuters.com/business/energy/us-treasury-extend-sanction-waiver-russian-seaborne-oil-source-says-2026-05-18/
We know perfectly well that they have no other choice; they will go all the way.
The “end” comes when popular unrest boils over. For now, Europe has the situation under control.
I believe that if a fuel crisis does strike Europe, it will happen in August or September—precisely when vast quantities of fuel are needed to power machinery during the harvest season. I’ve already observed that farmers there are facing significant difficulties even without this added burden. We have witnessed farmer protests in various European countries on numerous occasions. I suspect that this sector will serve as the primary driving force behind future protests, eventually joined by workers from other industries affected by the fuel crisis. However, this scenario will only unfold if Europe fails to stabilize the situation in the fuel market. Protests of this magnitude require extremely compelling grounds.
If I were to post this on Reddit, I’d be banned instantly. I am not advocating for protests; rather, I am attempting to visualize the scenario—to imagine how such events might be triggered. I’ve imagined how it might start; as for how it might end—that, too, is conceivable: it will all culminate in Hungary and Slovakia becoming the wealthiest nations in Europe, as refugees from Brussels, London, and Paris come flocking to their borders… ))) And those with a bit more daring might head to Russia—to work on construction sites… ))) I’m only joking about that last part, of course; I certainly don’t mean to offend anyone…
Moreover, nothing is predetermined yet; the ultimate outcome of this unfolding drama remains shrouded in deep uncertainty.
Damn it—I was in the middle of writing you a really long reply when the power went out and my computer shut down. I switched over to my backup power supply, but drafts don’t save on this setup… Argh.
Let’s talk tomorrow, Comrade! I’ll say just one thing: I first found out about the massive shelling from the news this morning. It was relatively quiet on our end last night.
I also wanted to discuss the JPMorgan forecast with you, as well as the potential scenarios for how the war in Ukraine might end.
https://logos-pres.md/en/news/jpmorgan-chase-analysts-predict-a-finnish-scenario-for-ukraine/