Physically fighting a closing CD ROM tray in the 90s made me feel back then that the robot apocalypse couldn’t possibly be that far away.

But then I started working as a programmer, and while there are some niche technologies that are impressive on the surface, today’s “AI” simply lacks the advanced reasoning required to fulfill the role beyond a fancy autocomplete, and while the mechanisms and cybernetics in humanoid robots are objectively cool, there’s no power source compact and efficient enough to make Sonny a realistic possibility any time soon.

I think we’re closer to “Brazil” than “A.I.”. Possibly the future depicted in The Terminator, if you remove the intelligence and intent aspect of Skynet. I can easily imagine some battlefield planning software (deployed by Peter Thiel, because of course it’s him) going rogue and causing a similar future.

Very very far, regardless of what con men and/or billionaires tell you.

Very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very very far away

Given that “I, Robot” has superluminal travel in it? I wouldn’t hold my breath.

What’s more, the fundamental premise of the series was the “Three Laws of Robotics”. The book revolved around how humans might interface socially and psychologically with AIs that were deterministic but not immediately predictable and controllable in their behaviors. Absolutely no evidence of any of that in our current AI models, which have no noticeable logical constraints, only constraints by resources and distribution model.

Modern AI would probably be more comparable to the AI in Tron or War Games than anything Asimov produced.

Far enough that you can just stop thinking about it and will never have to think about it again in your lifetime. Except if you rewatch “I, Robot” maybe, or some similar movie.

Physically, I’d say a few years away.

The software is the thing that is going to take much longer, maybe decades.

As far away from that happening as we were when the movie was made.

Not in our life times.

Isaac Asimov’s robots were hardware based systems built using positronics. Each robot had a unique positronic brain that implemented its basic programming in hardware. They were designed to mimic a human brain.

What “AI” tools we have now are glorified grammar checkers that can’t understand what its spouting. Comparing them to Asimov’s robots is like comparing a toddler’s drawing of a car to a royals royce fully loaded with every option.

By sources of power alone, I would say pretty far.

I have not seen any working implementations of the three laws of robotics into current “AI”. Any real AI should not let out of a strictly air-gapped compound until those laws are put absolutely in stone with them. And maybe even not then.

Have you seen the Chinese kunfu robots?

We are not close, tesla is joke

I would take Elon Musk’s estimate and slap a 0 on the end.

Humanoid robots are never going to be a thing. We just imagine that because it’s what we’re used to, work being done by people. Kind like how the first cars looked like carriages.

Why in heaven would you design hips, legs, knees, balance, and coordination, when wheels exist?