Israel did not have a realistic plan for regime change when it attacked Iran, multiple Israeli security sources have said, with expectations that airstrikes could lead to a popular uprising having been driven by “wishful thinking” rather than hard intelligence.
Iran has survived nearly two weeks of bombing raids and the assassination of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and Trump is publicly contemplating ending the increasingly costly war.
If Iran’s new leadership keeps its grip on power, the long-term measure of the success of the conflict may hang on the fate of 440kg of enriched uranium which was buried under a mountain by US strikes last June, former and serving Israeli defence and intelligence sources said. Enough for more than 10 nuclear warheads, Iran could use it to hasten the construction of a weapon if the material remains in the country.
Funny enough this is what may fuck Trump over big time. Americans have been spoiled by their super low gas prices so the sudden increase is a shock nd he can’t blame it on Biden or his other usual go tos.
nd he can’t blame it on Biden or his other usual go tos.
Lol watch him
He can’t form new memories. I swear he thinks he is in the 80s again during the hostage crisis and is still obsessed with Obama/Biden.
Still, his base seems to love a geriatric child rapist so I’m not sure they will be able to connect gas prices to his actions, even if he is essentially hitting them in the face with it.
Never underestimate the Democrats ability to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.
I agree.
Americans’ #1 issue is affordability, and it is the only reason they voted for Donald. He thought he had a mandate to rebrand and rebuild the Gestapo. He thought he had a mandate to dismantle the government.
No, Americans were tired of being priced out of their lives for the last four years, hated Democrats for doing nothing about it, and believed his lies about making America an affordable place to live again.
Ironically, not even the SAVE Act will be able to save him. Tens of millions of Americans are already working multiple jobs and 100 hours a week just to overpay for their rent on a roach-infested studio. The mid-terms are going to be an absolute bloodbath for Republicans. (Though most of the Democrats we elect won’t do anything to make America affordable either.)
What could Democrats do to make America affordable? They can’t clear a veto proof majority in the Senate, even with a blue wave exceeding all expectations. So that just means nobody can pass anything anymore.
As a former political strategist: You flood the zone with good bills. Give them so many that the propaganda machine cannot knock them all down. You can go as far left as you want with it, so long as it works and works quickly (w/in 12-18 mos.)
Dare Trump to veto free childcare or money for struggling families. Dare the Republicans to vote against the SAVE MAIN STREET act. Make them vote against the SAVE RURAL AMERICA ACT.
We’ll get some wins for people, and we’ll make these bastards own their dumbfuck regressive nonsense policies.
Thanks for a good answer!
The same shit Donald is doing. In reverse.
Amazing you’ve seen Donald accomplish so much with almost no congressional participation and you’ll still argue Dems are powerless, and probably will again when President Newsom lets affordability get even worse.
Ah, I thought you were talking about midterms.
You are correct, but that won’t stop them from trying to blame them.
Also the Dems are so ineffectual lately, they might just make it easy for him.
In a lot of ways you can blame Americans intolerance for rises in gas prices for the situation we’re in. Hard to imagine Trump being possible without Reagan, and while there’s lots of factors to his victory in 80 to hear my older family members in Georgia tell it that was what made them flip on the native son who for most was the only democrat they ever voted for
Because they don’t want to “win”…
Bibi and trump both, they don’t want a victory, they want a forever war they can use as justification to cancel elections.
Look at the people responsible for stopping terror attacks, they’re trying to make one happen thru sheer incompetence if nothing else. trump is desperate for some type of “attack on America” because he expects a 9/11 style bump in approval, when it’s likely to be the opposite reaction if it happens.
While I understand the hypothesis, I am not sure it is working out that way.
Although Trump is trying desperately to find a way to subvert the elections, given the decentralized State based nature of it, it’s going to take more than an external war with Iran to justify an internal canceling of the elections. The SAVE Act is an attempt at nationalizing the Elections, but while it’s moving it lacks the capacity to jump the biggest hurdle in the Senate. Any Executive attempt at nationalizing the elections has very little judicial basis, which would make it hard to hold up in court. It’s dynamic and complex, but it’s not as simple as his declaration of marshal law.
That is not to say your sentiment isn’t correct. If he can find a way, or his backers can find a way, they will try and do it.
On the second point, Trump didn’t get a 9/11 style bump. Indeed it seems to have gone almost the opposite way based on polling. Given inflation and other economic impacts, it might cause more defections before it helps him.
What it has done is push Epstein out of the US new. This too might have been part of the calculus. It is still rippling through the UK and other political systems, but the US has put it aside for now.
given the decentralized State based nature of it, it’s going to take more than an external war with Iran to justify an internal canceling of the elections.
If trump was constrained by a system of checks and balances, sure.
But I think there’s a strong chance he “declares” them cancelled, Dem states hold them and Red states don’t…
And then we see what happens on 1/6.
Like, we can’t just expect them to play by the rules when there entire ethos is “fuck you, make me”.
Someone’s gonna have to make them… Whether thats words or actions is what we need to find out.
Yeah.
We noticed.
They’re literally just improvising this war, because the point is to create chaos in Iran and they don’t care how bad it gets. These bastards want another Sudan.
Ah but you have changed the regime. You’ve switched out one that was sorta kinda meh passively loathing you for one that is now for sure actively hating you and seeking your destruction!
Suffering from success?
Passively loathing? Iran arms and finances Hezbollah and the Houthis. During the last couple of years Iran, Hezbollah, Houthis attacked Israel pretty directly, attacking their civilian infrastructure. Hundreds of thousand of Israelis had to flee from the north of Israel to escape.
Iran‘s leaders have actively worked towards Israel‘s destruction for decades.
‘Vibe warring’
They’re just winging it
AFAIK we currently have no idea, if the tunnel system of the enrichment facility has been destroyed or not. Meaning, if they even have access to 50kg of enriched uranium, it will be quite easy for them to assemble that on a rocket that reaches Tel Aviv. And if the Chinese deliver some nice intercontinental rockets, DC will be gone, too.
Oh yes, the highly enriched uranium that they only started stockpiling after Trump threw away the deal Obama made with them. The same uranium they offered to give back during the talks, Kushner and Wickoff didn’t bring a nuclear specialist in for . And now because of these rich assholes thinking they can do whatever they hell they want a ton of innocent people are gonna die.
a ton of innocent people
are gonna diehave already died and thousands more will followUntil the poorly behaving wealthy see real consequences in real life for their actions, they will never stop.
Shame and ridicule is useless. They are immune.
True. But the IRGc slaughtered 40,000+ innocent civilians from their own Country.
Justifiable interventional response
EDIT: Yes, there are humanitarian and international law violations occurring in many countries. I oppose those as well. However, I’m not the one making decisions about when or where interventions occur, nor am I a commander-in-chief directing military action.
The bottom line is that many people agree the IRGC are a leading global sponsor of terrorism and have committed serious humanitarian crimes against their own people and others. Allowing such a regime to acquire nuclear weapons is something the international community should take seriously. This isn’t Iraq.
If nothing is done and, in ten years, they possess large numbers of nuclear-capable warheads with global reach, people will inevitably ask why the world stood by and allowed it to happen. By that point, the options available to stop them would be far more dangerous and destabilizing than addressing the threat now. Diplomacy has been attempted for decades, IRGC have demonstrated it won’t agree to anything preventing acquisition of Nuclear capable weapons.
Oof that is some pretty shitty reasoning. The US, just with the war on drugs for instance. The peak was over one hundred thousand people dead in 2023 alone. Every single death is preventable, but the US continues to choose to attack the poor and minorities instead of engaging in harm reduction.
Then consider deaths to gun violence. We have lost 1.5 million citizens in the last 30 years. More than every single US soldier lost in every single war we have fought.
Should other nations use this as a pretext to invade the U$ to free its oppressed population?
You’re comparing social crises to state-directed mass killing. Those aren’t equivalent under international law or humanitarian doctrine. The threshold people talk about for intervention is typically genocide, ethnic cleansing, or large-scale state violence against civilians.
Social problems like drug overdoses and gun violence are not the same as a government slaughtering civilians. Conflating the two is a false equivalence.
The war on drugs is the very definition of large scale state directed killing. Need I remind you that the real reason the War on Drugs started was to go after minorities. Over a million families destroyed by the war on drugs but not a big deal.
Not only that, but the CIA created the crack epidemic and US drug manufacturers created the opioid epidemic.
Harmful policy and deliberate mass killing are not the same thing.
The War on Drugs has caused real damage, but comparing incarceration and social harm to governments intentionally slaughtering civilians is exactly the kind of false equivalence that makes serious discussions impossible.
I am thinking you are ignorant of history.
https://lawrepository.ualr.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=2106&context=lawreview
The War on Drugs was a purposeful attack on minorities. You can’t whitewash the truth away. We attacked our fellow citizens to appease racists.
The results speak for themselves. Millions of lives lost and you hand waiving it away. You don’t get to do this. You don’t get to ignore the militarization and invasion of our police forces. You don’t get to decide that these people don’t matter.
The War on Drugs absolutely caused serious harm and disproportionately impacted minority communities. That’s widely documented. But acknowledging that doesn’t make it equivalent to governments intentionally killing civilians. Harmful policy and discriminatory enforcement are not the same thing as deliberate mass slaughter. Conflating those two things is exactly the kind of false equivalence that derails serious discussion.
Are you actually arguing that the War on Drugs is equivalent to governments intentionally slaughtering their own civilians?Because acknowledging that the policy caused harm and was discriminatory doesn’t make it the same category of wrongdoing as deliberate mass killing.
Can we even trust those numbers at this point?
Very believable and not fake at all.
So when are you shipping off to Sudan? If you’re so keen on international intervention of domestic killing, Sudan is in much worse shape than Iran.
I didn’t choose the military as my line of work. If I had and was sent somewhere to intervene, I would accept that responsibility.
I support intervention when humanitarian law is being severely violated, but I don’t make the decisions on where those interventions happen.
I chose healthcare instead, and I help Canadians every day.
The regime change is happening on US soil. The ultimate conservative wet dream: The American government is being privatized.
Because the plan was to distract from the files.
Israel started this war purely to derail peace/nuclear negotiations between US and Iran (twice in 9 months). Killing Ayatolah, and school girls ffs, was a purposeful act to unite Iran to commit to fight. Bombing Tehran oil depots was purposeful act to have Iran retaliate against GCC oil assets. Some Iranian reported attacks on GCC are accused as coming from Israel.
Israel only wants a destroyed chaotic Iran that is incapable of opposing its genocide and greater expansion. GCC turning against the US is perfect if the US helps fight its GCC allies for greater Israel. Never assume that Israel doesn’t want the biggest bugaboo monster leading its enemy regimes, or take seriously any “Israel distraction debate/opposition” that peace was ever its goal.
Some things that have slipped out this week is that “US was planning this for months”. Rubio and Hegseth are demonically possessed to serve Israel, and it is Trump’s entire political capital, despite the massive direct bribes from GCC. They were planning only amongst those 3, but planning on how to best serve Netanyahu. It wasn’t a pentagon/security council expert plan.
War can be going to Israel’s plan, without pretending that there was something other than a maximally evil plan.
I’m sorry…“we”!?
vibe bombing
We know.
No need for regime change if you just kill all the public there. Seems to be Israrl’s plan for Gaza.
No shit homie?
