Saw a post about this at !history@hexbear.net and was a bit confused by exactly how badly the people there were going at each others throats in the comments. Nobody seemed able to agree on what precisely happened in 1971. Suggested explanations included:
- Neoliberalism being declared the state religion by Grand Moff Richard Nixon
- The gold standard being abolished
- The oil crisis
- The Republican and Democrat parties becoming increasingly divided
- Declining birthrates
- Institutional Racism
If any of you could give some explanations with, like, sources that aren’t just 10 pages of graphs with arrows pointing at 1971, that would be pretty great.
There’s a fair amount of evidence linking wage stagnation over the last 50 years to erosion of collective bargaining and union membership. Unless there are very strong incentives companies are not going to pay employees more than they need to. Employees as a group have a lot of bargaining power, but as individuals, very little. Unless you happen to worn in a highly skilled, and high demand occupation, which are exactly the jobs that have seen wages remain comparatively high.
Thank you. I love when people cite sources
The short answer is that corporate lobbying exploded starting in the early 70’s.
This is a deep and complex topic but the TL;DR is: money talks and this was the moment in US history where the people with the money were allowed direct access to the lawmaking process in congress. For the first time in history lobbyists were allowed to sit in congressional committee meetings and not just wait in the hallway outside. From that point on, corporate America has had more ‘representatives’ in congress than US citizens do.
And businesses only care about profits, and the single biggest expense most businesses have is labor. Decreased labor cost = more profits. So one of the first things that happened is wages stopped growing.
There is so much to talk about here including how and why it happened, who caused it (spoiler: Nixon is a recurring character), and what other impacts it had (too many to list).
This website does a great job of laying out the argument and providing citations: congressionalresearch.org. There are also some very helpful charts that really drive home the impact the increase in lobbying has had.
If you’re interested in this sort of thing I also recommend reading about The Powell Memorandum, 1971 which is basically the blueprint for modern capitalism and advocates specifically for increased corporate lobbying. Fun fact: It is also considered by some to be a forerunner to Project 2025.
There are a lot of other good points being brought up like decreased union membership but I would argue that increased lobbying is the root cause and all other explanations are symptoms.
I was born. I am so sorry y’all.
Why did you do this to us? Why‽
Boy if that isn’t my mother to a T.
For anyone who hasn’t seen it: wtfhappenedin1971.com
To be clear, that one is not as insightful as one may initially think. See https://singlelunch.com/2023/09/13/the-bad-economics-of-wtfhappenedin1971/
I think your source is the best answer I’m going to get
Don’t forget the computer revolution.
You know how you can right click on a doc and select copy or save? That used to be two whole jobs.
I think they all played a role, but it was Nixon’s neoliberalism that prevented the trend from correcting.
I know I could probably just google it but for the sake of contributing to this discussion and my curiousity, what exactly is neoliberalism?
You’re better off googling it, they’ll do a better job explaining it than me.
It’s an economic ideology, and tldr the problematic positions are supporting laissez-faire capitalism, and privatization and commodification of everything.
No sources from me, only uneducated guesswork.
Two events of 1971 stand out to me, as I knew of them beforehand:
- My brother was born. Not relevant to the question at hand (I hope), I just wanted to mention it.
- The oil crisis.
The latter strikes me as probably a big factor. The world was basically using oil for everything (Even more so than now), and an oil shortage (or fear thereof) is likely to send a drastic shock to the system. Manufacturing, logistics, energy, EVERYTHING becomes more expensive, resulting in having to do more with less.
Shortly after the (percieved) shortage, there was an oil glut and overcorrection. I’m not clever enough to say what effect this would have in exact terms, but I highly doubt that an already turbulent world economy did well because of it.
Oil rebounded, but Reagan/Thatcher era neoliberal policy remains. I’m not saying the oil crisis wasn’t a factor, but I think this lasting wage stagnation has more to do with explicit policy that promoted oligopolies than it does to do with the supply of energy resources.
So what your saying is your brother single-handedly altered the trajectory of the US economy
Anyone knows where to find data for European countries or the EU?
It’s been a ling time that we should be able to work less and have more freedom IMO but I’d love having it backed up by raw numbers like this.
confused by exactly how badly the people there were going at each others throats in the comments
I’m reading that thread and I don’t see anyone being aggressive.
someone there also mentioned Nixonland which actually is a good book to understand the circumstances of era
The first oil crisis was in 1973, which is roughly what the graph suggests.
In 1971 the oil-fuelled postwar party was still in full swing.
inflation basically
From ChatGPT:
Ending the Bretton Woods system in 1971 had a cascading effect on corporate profits and income distribution. Wealth shifting toward shareholders and executives rather than workers:
1. Deregulation of Money and Credit
Once the dollar was no longer tied to gold, the U.S. government and Federal Reserve had more flexibility in managing the money supply. This led to:
• Higher inflation, which eroded workers’ real wages.
• Easier access to credit, fueling corporate financialization (more focus on stock buybacks, mergers, and financial engineering instead of wage growth).
2. Rise of Shareholder Capitalism
With the shift away from the gold standard, corporate governance changed. Instead of focusing on long-term growth and worker stability, companies prioritized maximizing shareholder value, which became a dominant ideology by the 1980s (reinforced by Milton Friedman’s theories).
• Stock Buybacks & Dividends – Companies increasingly used profits to buy back shares, boosting stock prices and benefiting executives/shareholders.
• Executive Compensation in Stocks – CEO pay shifted from salaries to stock options, aligning their interests with shareholders rather than employees.
3. Decline in Labor’s Bargaining Power
As globalization and automation accelerated, companies could move production abroad, weakening the leverage of American workers. Meanwhile:
• Unions declined, further reducing workers’ ability to demand wage increases.
• Deregulation in industries like finance, airlines, and trucking shifted power away from labor and toward corporate management.
4. Explosion of Financialization
The detachment from gold allowed an unrestricted credit boom, fueling speculative bubbles and making the financial sector more dominant. Instead of reinvesting profits into worker wages or capital expansion, firms:
• Focused on financial activities (derivatives, leveraged buyouts, etc.), which benefited investors rather than workers.
• Moved toward short-term profits, cutting costs via outsourcing and automation.
End Result
With productivity still rising but wages stagnating, the gains went disproportionately to executives and shareholders. This is why, after 1971, you see charts showing a widening gap between worker pay and corporate profits.
I hate these LLMs but must admit that’s a damn fine synopsis
Probably the best thing I’ve seen out of GPT so far.