• 0 Posts
  • 24 Comments
Joined 2 years ago
cake
Cake day: October 9th, 2023

help-circle
rss
  • I mean, there’s an infrastructure problem that’s worth considering. With low enough population density, it could become no longer feasible or worth it to maintain large-scale, country/globe spanning infrastructure projects such as power grids or undersea fiber optic networks. This infrastructure didn’t matter much a few thousand years ago, but it’s pretty critical now, so the same rules don’t necessarily apply.

    I don’t know how likely I consider this outcome to actually be, as you’d need a very steep decline, but it’s at least worth keeping in mind.









  • Hilarious for them to act like the Su-57 (Russia’s fifth gen option) is truly comparable to ether F-35 or China’s J-20. To my understanding, the Su-57 is highly optimized for dexterity and maneuverability in dogfighting, but that doesn’t mean shit when you’re dealing with the stealth, sensor, and range capabilities of an F-35 or J-20. It’s for this reason that some have referred to the Su-57 as a ‘4.5th gen’ fighter, as it lacks several of the stealth and sensor integration capabilities of its fifth gen peers.

    Anyways, I doubt that the US is really worried about Russia’s offering here, but I’d bet they are very worried about China’s.



  • Eh. Brilliant is maybe a stretch. Acknowledging the abject horror of the situation and putting it aside for the moment, this isn’t the first war where civilians have been targeted intentionally by bombing, and it certainly won’t be the last. Historically, the response to terror bombing such as this has been mixed, as such things are highly dependent on the population in question. Generally, however, the balance leans toward it being mostly a waste of resources. I’m sure the Russians think they’re doing some 4D chess maneuver, but from my perspective they’re just wasting valuable weapons systems (the missile that hit the hospital costs well in excess of one million dollars per and was part of a barrage) on targets which provide little or no military utility.

    If I had to guess, this is more about domestic propaganda than anything else, but that’s just conjecture.


  • Also worth noting that Russia has not made any real significant territorial advances since the start of the war despite hundreds of thousands of casualties while massively burning down their inheritance of old soviet systems. It’s not just Ukraine who hasn’t been able to change that.

    Conflicts like this aren’t just determined by military strength, as there is defender advantage, political will to fight, western aid, etc. to consider that could change the balance. I would agree that Russia has the edge right now, but that’s definitely something that can change.