Sincere thanks to the uncommitted voters out there, we wouldn’t have gotten this without some pressure
The other day I saw a comment that essentially read “You have no leverage, how dare democratic voters try to vote uncommitted” I want to express my deep thanks to everyone who rejected the apathetic pity party and, while acknowledging they’ll probably vote for Biden regardless, tried to hold his feet to the fire.
Politics is very appearance based, Democrats are often terrible at this and hesitate to call votes that they know will fail to force people to be on record. Your voice does make a difference even if it doesn’t feel like it will.
Do you want Trump to win?!?! /s
But seriously, we need to keep the pressure up until a permanent ceasefire.
I know /s, but what those uncritical white liberals don’t recognize, is that Biden can’t win without pivoting 180 on his prior position of Gaza.
Failing to be critical of the candidate and holding them accountable ensures their failure.
Pivoting on Gaza will be the start of Biden rebuilding his campaign, because right now, he’s made all the wrong moves and has around a 1-10, 1-20 chance of actually winning. He needs to be beating Trump nationally by 5 points to have this thing locked up. He’s trailing Trump nationally, outside of the margin of error. That’s not just ‘bad’ that’s DISASTROUS for a Democratic candidate once you account for redstate gerrymandering and the fact that Trump consistently outperforms polling.
Biden needs to cater to his actual base, not Republicans. He wont win if he doesn’t.
Presidential elections are nearly all statewide and therefore nearly immune to gerrymandering.
Polling on Trump consistently underestimates his real world performance.
Going into 2016 (our best corollary for this election. D in office, Trump from outside), Trump was losing within the margin of error and he massively over performed the polling.
He’s currently leading in the polling, outside of the margin of error.
Biden needs to get to 55% in the polling nationally to be secure in a national election. He has to make up 12 points. That’s basically never happened for an incumbent.
With Biden as the nominee, Democrats have lost this election.
Your own link points out that Trump underperforms his polls.
Trump fared below polling numbers in the New Hampshire, South Carolina and Michigan primaries
And how is Bidens polling doing in those same states?
Its the difference in polling that matters, and what matters, is that when there is an actual election, Trump outperforms the polls.
If Biden isn’t at 55% going into the general, its Trumps V.
If the election were tomorrow, Trump would win every contested swing state.
Stop deluding yourself into thinking that Biden is going to win.
There were actual elections in several states this year, and Trump underperformed his polls.
Biden is getting 80-90% of the vote in his primaries (MN excepted) which is also what Obama got in 2012.
And I’m not deluding myself, the election could easily go either way.
But Biden does not need to poll 55% to win. He never polled that high in 2020, yet he won.
He has a 1-10 chance to win? You are out of your mind. He’s got problems but he is not that far off from winning, if at all. This change on Gaza is a great step forward but don’t act like he’s just terrible otherwise. He’s no where near ideal but don’t forsake mostly good to ok for bad.
You are delusional if you think right now Biden has a better than 1:10 chance of winning. Its probably closer to 1:20 at this point.
This isn’t hyperbole. Hes lost all support he had 1 year ago in the polling, which wasn’t even that great. He’s losing among Democrats. Trump is holding steady. Not gaining or losing. The fact that this “uncommitted” movement is even happening should be a break glass, hair on fire, “holy fuck” moment for Democrats. But they are too committed to the project of white liberalism to see the writing on the wall.
And rather than try to re-position and appeal to Democrats, he’s re-positioning to appeal to Nikki Haley voters. Its beyond stupid. Bidens gone from bad to worse in terms of electoral strategy.
On his current course, we’re looking towards a 1984 Reagan level victory for Trump.
ETA to Israel “accidentally” destroying the port?
How long until that gets bombed then blamed on the Palestinian people?
It’ll probably be used to bring in aid for Gaza, like new missiles for Israel or tractors so settlers can clear the land to build themselves new houses.
We get to spend money BUILDING the port AND Destroying the port!
We are helping Israel use less bombs by gathering everyone in one location. Come on silly 🪿
Why you’re supporting the destruction and recreation of the same place, we may never know
PR. It’s like the bully in an 80s movie telling the teacher that the kid he’s giving a wedgie is actually his friend.
Money. Training. Supplying the post genocide settlers.
Spineless bastard needs to also stop sending money and weapons to the people committing war crimes.
And to stop supporting Netanyahu at the UN.
He can’t do anything Jack! Didn’t you know he’s literally the most useless president ever who’s hands are tied at every occasion?
What’re you a Trump supporter? Now support this tough on the border bill based on Republican values that also gives billions to Israel.
That’s cool n shit, but probably better to just cut off all foreign aid and weapons sales to Israel.
Yes I’m sure feeding these people who are literally starving to death will make no difference to them right?
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“Fuck it let’s continue bombing them, drop off some food while we’re at it.”
Why don’t they just strap the food to the bombs and save time for everyone involved?
Aid, or bait?
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So we are annexing Gaza now?
Troops will have to be on the ground to protect the port…
I for one would be totally on board with the American military providing the Palestinian state protection from Israeli aggression. Honestly, there’s a good argument that we owe that to the Palestinians at this point given how many of the weapons used on them came from us.
That would indeed be an actual solution, but if it actually happens I will eat my unleavened hat.
If you’re making a matzah joke, please don’t. It’s a wonderful food from a wonderful culture that doesn’t deserve to be tainted by association with this evil murderous government.
Point taken about the unlikeliness of this, but I would have thought “we are not waiting on the Israelis” to be an impossibility before this, so who knows, maybe their conduct has finally been outrageous enough and public enough this time to change things.
Please don’t learn from AIPAC, most people here are highly critical of Netanyahu and the IDF but bear no ill will towards jews - hell - most of the jews I know are highly critical of Isreal themselves. The unleavened hat line reads as a pretty innocuous association joke - it’s not antisemitic by nature.
AIPAC has put us in an awful situation by refusing to distinguish between real antisemitism and criticism of Netanyahu - this is a false dichotomy being pushed by a hate group and we need to reject it. Sadly, AIPAC is directly responsible for the resurgence of social acceptance of antisemitism in the modern US.
There is no such thing as an innocuous association with Israel, that’s like an innocuous association with the Green River Killer or something. I doubt that commenter had ill intent, but making even very lighthearted or positive jewishness jokes in the context of a story about Israel is just going to lead to irrelevant tangents like this one at best, and it ends up feeding anti-semites and AIPAC ammo at worst.
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