You don’t need to guess. It was less than 3 months ago where scientists (on nearly every news/publication outlet that wasn’t denying climate change) said we are going to blow by the 1.5C estimate we used as a threshold in our models.
Climate change is already happening exponentially now.
Yeah just 20 years ago, much of the world was a bunch of primitive people living in jungles, and the planet could balance the relatively small number of industrialized nations. Today, way more countries have been industrialized. Countries like Vietnam, Thailand, etc are now concrete cities with massive highways and bridges, motorized vehicles everywhere, and factories manufacturing all kinds of stuff and pumping huge clouds of crap into the air. The EU and US try to pass laws and regulations to lower pollution output, but the factories just move to these other countries that have no or less regulations. We aren’t at steadily increasing pollution levels, it’s exponentially increasing.
If I recall they said in that report that we’ve managed to avoid +4C with our efforts so far, which prevents extinction. But, we’ve also learned that even modest increases are way more severe than we first thought.
You don’t need to guess. It was less than 3 months ago where scientists (on nearly every news/publication outlet that wasn’t denying climate change) said we are going to blow by the 1.5C estimate we used as a threshold in our models.
Climate change is already happening exponentially now.
Yeah just 20 years ago, much of the world was a bunch of primitive people living in jungles, and the planet could balance the relatively small number of industrialized nations. Today, way more countries have been industrialized. Countries like Vietnam, Thailand, etc are now concrete cities with massive highways and bridges, motorized vehicles everywhere, and factories manufacturing all kinds of stuff and pumping huge clouds of crap into the air. The EU and US try to pass laws and regulations to lower pollution output, but the factories just move to these other countries that have no or less regulations. We aren’t at steadily increasing pollution levels, it’s exponentially increasing.
If I recall they said in that report that we’ve managed to avoid +4C with our efforts so far, which prevents extinction. But, we’ve also learned that even modest increases are way more severe than we first thought.
It’s a hell of a mixed bag :/