• 2 Posts
  • 727 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
cake
Cake day: October 6th, 2023

help-circle






  • What’s really crazy is that apple had this obnoxious attitude that “they know what users really want”, the users would disagree, they’d complain loudly, then they’d use the software and say “damn… Apple was right, this is better.”

    But… That was all before 2010. I can’t think of a single software innovation the company has had since then. Apple used to deliver overpriced, outdated hardware and they only managed to sell it by packaging it with the slickest OS on the market. These days the situation is reversed, Apple is developing their own silicon, they have some of the fastest consumer chips around, and they need it, because their software is nothing to write home about and their prices are still high.













  • Someday everyone alive will die, does it stop being true if you live to 20?

    If I lived to 20 and literally nobody in the world had died, then yes, that would be a rational conclusion.

    Look, I don’t expect to convince you of anything, that’s fine. You can look at trends and history and draw your own conclusions. Personally though, I’ve watched the march of technology first hand, I’ve seen how this works and I see where there’s room for advancement. The last major paradigm shift was when we moved to multi core processors, but that kind of shift can happen again. For example, CPUs are still 2 dimensional, if they can solve the heat dissipation there’s plenty of room for growth. Also we’re still transmitting signals via electricity, but there’s research being put into optical computers transmitting data via photons. My point being, this isn’t the only viable architecture, and we will continue to develop technologies that are currently not even imagined yet.


  • But that assumption is the same as thinking a fallen object will keep gaining speed until it passes the speed of light. Or that Moore’s law would really keep going forever despite a very real limit in physics for how small a chip can be.

    I gotta say, I’ve been hearing predictions that Moore"s law is coming to an end every year for the past twenty years.

    Look, strictly speaking if you take Moore"s law word for word, sure there is a limit to how small a silicon transistor can be. However, realistically, I see no reason to expect computers won’t continue to meaningfully increase in capability every year forever.

    When a technology reaches physical limits, we figure out how to bend the rules and get a little bit more out. And when that stops working, we start exploring different architectures, different materials. I think it’s just silly to predict that technology won’t improve, when has that ever happened?